Wednesday 1 May 2013

Investment Performance & Review 2013

2013 has started with many clients seeing positive returns on their investments, pensions and other holdings. It is always good to report such positive news, with many clients that we have undertaken reviews for being pleased with the progress made. This does not mean that we will not see additional volatility into the future. However is it encouraging to see fund values increasing in many instances. 

We gather information on investments from many sources to ensure and maintain a robust advice process. One source is our colleague, Stephen Williams, Managing Director at Cormorant Capital Strategies Ltd, who notes: 

Output and employment have sustained a curious push-me-pull-me trend in recent months. The first quarter of 2013 was no different. On the ILO* measure (perhaps the most credible of all the different measures); unemployment has drifted higher from 7.8% of the available workforce to 7.9%. At the same time the year-on-year increase in average earnings continued to slow; it now stands at just 0.8%, a full 2% lower than general inflation. In contrast to this increasingly gloomy backdrop came a surprisingly upbeat initial estimate for economic growth at 0.3% compared with the previous quarter (or 0.6% compared with a year earlier).

According to the Office for National Statistics the first quarter, it seems, was witness to a higher rate of growth than most had come to expect. Sensible observers were expecting a marginal gain (or decline) in the order of 0.1% to 0.2%. Both the Bank of England and the Office for Budget Responsibility were predicting that a triple-dip recession would be narrowly avoided. It was broad-based expansion in the service sector that led the growth, again (0.6% contributing 0.5%). Meanwhile production was flat and construction contracted, again (-2.5% contributing -0.2%).

Of course, that we describe growth in the region of 0.3% as ‘upbeat’ is testament to the duration of the current economic malaise. A full five years on, GDP remains 2.6% below the pre-recession level. Nevertheless, there are positive signs; equity markets are buoyant and eased credit conditions has inflated house prices a little. But both of these will need to be sustained if, in the absence of a sudden and somewhat unlikely rebalanced economy, we are to see any kind of momentum toward a real recovery.


Stephen Williams

Managing Director
Cormorant Capital Strategies Ltd


*International Labour Organization

The team at Chapters Financial has spent much time over the last years with existing clients and new enquirers viewing existing holdings and making changes where appropriate to meet both their attitude to investment risk and the objective of their plan, such as capital growth or income.

If you would welcome a review then please let us know and we can arrange to meet at a suitable time to undertake any agreed changes that may be appropriate in your circumstances. 

Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Fund values can fall as well as rise.

This Blog provides general information and should not be used as individual advice.

If you, your business or charity would like to receive individual advice on the issues of investment or pension planning , then please contact the team at Chapters Financial Limited on 01483 578800.

Keith G. Churchouse FPFS
ISO22222 Certified Financial Planner
Director and Financial Planner 

Chapters Financial Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, number 402899.

The Financial Conduct Authority does not regulate Tax advice

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